Oil lower on Iran-Oman talks to reopen Hormuz.

German IFO improved significantly in August, despite renewed increases in energy prices.

1. European economy is growing again and that is starting to attract capital.

Last week was the first time since February that weekly inflows to Europe equity funds topped $1 billion, data from EPFR shows.
Investor skepticism toward the continent has meant the region’s outperformers often fly under the radar. For instance, total shareholder returns including dividends at European banks have beaten the Magnificent Seven over the last four years.

And growth is now widening beyond a narrow group of AI and bank stocks, according to UBS. ā€œGovernment spending and private investment in priorities like infrastructure, energy security and defense are creating real opportunities. ā€œ

2. The $40 trillion US debt problem is a strong argument for gold.

As Ray Dalio warns, when debt grows faster than the economy, the eventual choices become uncomfortable: higher taxes, spending cuts, financial repression… or more money creation. Meanwhile, gold supply remains remarkably constrained. Central banks bought 860+ tonnes in 2025 and another 244 tonnes in Q1 2026, while mine production increased just 1%.
Here’s the fascinating part: A mere 1 percentage-point increase in global portfolio allocations to gold would represent roughly $3.3 trillion. That’s almost 6x total annual gold demand. Gold doesn’t need everyone to become bullish. It just needs investors to want slightly more of something that remains scarce.

3. September has historically been the S&P 500’s worst month.

Then again, it’s only statistics.

4. US business is booming.

Firms are reporting the fastest output growth for over four years so far in the third quarter as the expansion picked up further momentum in August.
The survey data for [Q3] are currently pointing to annualized growth approaching 3.0%, up solidly from the 1.5% pace seen in [Q2].

5. Europe expects to invest 2 trillion Euro in energy infrastructure.

Source: European Commission.

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